Oil prices rose on Tuesday as traders looked optimistically at moves by several major economies to ease coronavirus lockdowns, allowing for greater economic activity and likely boosting demand for oil.
“Many market participants believe there is light at the end of the tunnel,” the UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.
Naeem Aslam, the chief market analyst at Avatrade, said oil prices were rising “as the world returns to its new normal.”
Italy, France, and Spain are among the countries easing lockdown measures or setting dates to do so. They had faced some of the world’s most stringent restrictions since mid-March.
Several US states have also moved to ease lockdown measures, with nonessential businesses and beaches reopening in some parts of the country.
“All of this optimism has helped the oil prices to record the longest run of daily gains in more than nine months,” Aslam said. “This further strengthens the argument that the worst may be over for oil, and given the fact that the oil producers have started to curtail voluntary and involuntary supply cuts, the supply and demand curve may reverse its course.”
But Aslam added that the June contract for WTI was “still prone to risk” because both a supply glut and a lack of storage space for it persist.
Other analysts echoed the suggestion that the easing of lockdowns was supporting oil prices even though worries about storage continue.
“While the inflection point appears near, we would describe the current environment as the darkest hour just before the dawn,” Staunovo said. “With oil inventories still increasing, crude oil prices remain vulnerable to renewed setbacks.”
Neil Wilson, the chief market analyst at Markets.com, said: “Oil continues to make steady gains with front month WTI to $22 on hopes lockdowns are being lifted. The idea that we will be moving around anything like as much as before is fanciful, at least in the near term.”
Source: Market Insider